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A Turbulent November market puts the onus back on the bulls to show resilience. Indexes tentatively bouncing off support after disgorging two months of gains, purging some froth, and resetting sentiment.
The bull market probably didn’t die last week… But the recent turbulence offers a glimpse of its eventual demise- symptoms of underlying imbalances emerging and pre chronic conditions threatening to go viral.
Good years for stocks tend to end strong. The market’s pricey but this tends not to bite when profits are rising and the Fed cutting rates… Will markets still end 2025 on a high note?
As a rewarding year for markets pivot from the season of fright to a month of thanksgiving…
The elite bull market takes control again with the SP500 touching 6800 for the first time ever…
Markets anchored to an entrenched story: The Fed is cutting rates into an economy supported by a huge tech capex boom and affluent consumer spending.
A fairly strong showing for the market which nonetheless felt like a struggle after a long calm climb.
Markets finally received the wake up call they had been ignoring.
A proper warning of an undisciplined capital burning binge or a dose of caution to refresh the rational exuberance?
The bull market believers have everything they think they want. An easy path to an easier Fed, gain without much pain and another AI spending wave to ride.
What do you get for the market that has everything?
The stock market’s resilience shows how hard it is to dislodge an entrenched macro narrative affirmed by longer term asset price trends.
Another wobble to start a new month.
With the Fed signaling that interest rate cuts may be on the horizon, what does that say about the state of the economy?
The market wants a Fed rate cut, but doesn’t want to need it…
Hard to tell if the market’s tired, bored, or simply resting when it gets into these slow-mo grind phases…
Midsummer has set in, and the trauma of the springtime sell off faded. Tariffs? Same threats, new deadline. Fed? Rate cut in sight… Will markets soon go looking for something to fret about again?
Markets are telling us not to worry with a steep drop in volatility. Should we listen?
The stock market has scaled its way to record highs in more than four months, feeding off a deep reservoir of worry filled during the April tariff panic that has not yet fully been depleted. How does it differ from the last time we were here? Can stocks remain resilient?
Even with geopolitical risks on the rise, tech leadership shows that risk-on behavior might still be in control here as markets notch new records.
A geopolitical jolt cracks the calm of a ‘grind-and-rise’ market. Just a minor shakeout to refresh the rally? Or a more erratic change in tone ahead of some key July tests on trade, the budget bill & the Fed into a less friendly seasonal backdrop?
Two months after the stock market’s climatic Tariff Panic low, there remains still plenty for investors to fret over.
Markets were reminded not to dismiss three factors that have already contributed to volatility and uncertainty in recent months- global tariff policies, fiscal deficits and debt, and the traditional drivers of the US dollar. Yet S&P closed out its best May since 2023.
Offsetting currents holding stocks in place: earnings outperformance, reassertion of Mag7, and still-ok hard economic data vs policy hazards. Bulls & bears are defined by whether one calls this churn resilience or delusion…
A previous six week rebound rally had cleared many technical hurdles, burned lots of investor pessimism as fuel, exploited a ‘free pass’ on economic data and priced in more trade progress. And now?
S&P500 back in black for the year (as of 5/13/25)…Is it a sustainable trend or just a trading bounce?
For the record, weight of the evidence now suggests the Fed should focus more on growth risks, less on surface inflation effects from tariffs, opening a path to ease…Is there more room for markets to run or are the gains fully baked in?
Market back to the April 2nd low, traders keying on the ‘upside risk’ of steady tariff backtracking that could, maybe, prevent the ugly survey trends from spilling into hard macro data. Is the rally back, intact & lasting?
A stressed market can and will trade fast & loose to exploit technical/sentiment extremes and in search of buyers/sellers with conviction. What the action mostly reveals is the market’s strong and clear preference for the administration to unilaterally disarm to end the trade war it started.
When perceived uncertainty is high, so is the capacity for resolution & relief. The collective confusion over Trump’s tariff turmoil is building suspense around the economy’s resilience. Is the pervasive gloom an overreaction to ambiguous economic signals & erratic policy OR a sober recognition that real world conditions are souring fast?
Markets that spent two years anticipating a recession that never came took 2 days to price in surging odds of a recession that might come by invitation. A tariff off-ramp or ditch ahead? How do we navigate the markets ‘new normal’?
A growth scare, messy exit from mega-cap tech & trade-policy aggression causing a market leadership crisis. Has the confidence crash & 10+% correction priced enough in?
One of the faster 10% thumping’s in memory put the market in the post-concussion protocol: every vital sign scrutinized, setbacks assumed, monitoring for lasting damages… Do bulls or bears face the burden of proof now?
As the US economy slows into a policy fog, investors try to focus on the centerline reflectors and listen for the rumble strips that may signal a breach of the market’s benign trend. Is a ‘New Golden Age upon us’?
The market enters March facing economic jitters and intense policy noise that’s denting confidence. Does the ‘Buy when uncertainty is high’ rule still apply? What to make of the ‘economic growth scare’ talk & can stocks find their footing?
SP500 has touched 6100 7x in the past few weeks. Two months of so far benign churn, working off frothy 2024 sentiment, and absorbing waves of policy noise. Encouraging resilience or a fragile equilibrium?
The market is calm but unable to relax.
A tireless bid from retail investors and the market’s knack for rotations have supported stocks through a rethink of the AI trade, a jumpy bond market and erratic policy signals with on-off-on tariff plans.
Investors find themselves cautiously optimistic as rate rise cools and the second Trump era gets in motion.
