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Markets & the Economy: Tariff Trouble

This content does not reflect any recommendations of Baird.

When perceived uncertainty is high, so is the capacity for resolution & relief. The collective confusion over Trump’s tariff turmoil is building suspense around the economy’s resilience. Is the pervasive gloom an overreaction to ambiguous economic signals & erratic policy OR a sober recognition that real world conditions are souring fast?

Add it to the ETF Line Up

New Launches: (week ending 4/18) a few highlights…

  • HFGM~ Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF
  • RNTY~ YieldMax Target 12 Real Estate Income ET

2 new funds from Global X

  • EGLE~ Global X SP500 US Revenue Leaders
  • FLAG~ Global X SP500 US Market Leaders Top 50 ETF

BlackRock caps Mega stocks at 3% with new ETF~ TOPC; aims to provide balanced exposure to the largest US Co’s addressing market concentration

New Filings: Roundhill, Tema, Defiance

Roundhill filing for a Humanoid Robotics ETFs~ HUMN which will invest in Co’s that make Humanoid robots

Tema files for 6 new thematic ETFs..

  • Tema International & Moats ETF: ITOL~ Look for filing more inspired by a ‘Tariff World’

Defiance files for an anti-leverage decay ETF; this one shorts both TQQQ & SQQQ to profit from the vol drag decay

  • Defiance Nasdaq 100 Double Short Hedged ETF

ETF Check Up: Flow Show, Bitcoin

VOO about to cross $50B in YTD flows

  • An insane number ($720m/day pace)
  • $50B used to be enough to win you the calendar year crown (and we are in April)
  • On pace to do $182B, which is 82% over VOO’s record run last year

Screenshot of stock ticker and flows

Last year, Europeans put HALF of their cash into US focused ETFs, this year ONLY 3%

  • US investors have barely budged
  • Asia has actually increased investment in the US

Screenshot of bar graphs for US Europe Canada and Asia Pacific

Bitcoin ETFs have eked out positive inflows the past month & YTD and IBIT is $2.4B YTD (Top 1%)

Screenshot of stock ticker and flows