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Markets & the Economy: Animal Spirits Awaken

This content does not reflect any recommendations of Baird.

A previous six week rebound rally had cleared many technical hurdles, burned lots of investor pessimism as fuel, exploited a ‘free pass’ on economic data and priced in more trade progress. And now?

Add it to the ETF Line Up

New Launches: (week ending 5/23) a few highlights…

  • USNG~ Amplify Samsung US Natural Gas Infrastructure ETF
  • XRPI~ XRP ETF; 1st ever XRP futures ETF
  • IDEF~ iShares Defense Industrials Active ETF; Co’s tied to global security priorities (Top holdings include GE, RTX, PLTR, BA)

New Filings: Xtrackers, First Trust

First ever India Nifty 500 ETF filed (in the US) from Xtrackers; top 500 Co’s traded on the National Stock Exchange of India

Deglobalization ETF filed

  • First Trust RBA Deglobalization ETF; Co’s which are inflation beneficiaries and may benefit from increased geopolitical conflict

ETF Check Up: Flow Show

  • VOO has now taken in $48b more than any other ETF…a lead like this is unheard of
  • IBIT has worked its way into the Top 5 in YTD flows with +$9B, just passing BIL~ this is wild because one month ago it was ranked 47th

Screenshot of Ticker Fund Assets and YTD Flow

GLD hit hard with outflows, over $4b in past 4 weeks, 2nd worst stretch of monthly outflows ever, as 2024 back risk on mood takes over

Screenshot of Cumulative Money Flow April-May 2025