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Markets & the Economy: Triple Threat

This content does not reflect any recommendations of Baird.

Markets were reminded not to dismiss three factors that have already contributed to volatility and uncertainty in recent months- global tariff policies, fiscal deficits and debt, and the traditional drivers of the US dollar. Yet S&P closed out its best May since 2023.

Add it to the ETF Line Up

New Launches: (week ending 5/30) a few highlights

  • LOGO~ Alpha Brands Consumption Leaders ETF
  • CVNX~ Defiance Daily Target 2x Long CVNA ETF
  • RSSX~ Return Stacked US Stocks & Gold/Bitcoin ETF

New Filings: Vanguard, Bitwise, SSGA, VistaShares

Vanguard files for EM Ex China ETF, for fee of 7bps~ 1st equity filing in years

  • Going after EMXC huge BlackRock hit which is 25bps with $13b in Aum
  • Both inspired by FRDM

Bitwise expands into covered call ETFs filed 3 income strategies based on crypto ETFs

State Street files for 2nd Private debt ETF as PRIV stalls

VistaShares files 7 new active ETFs based on 13f filings of other successful investors ie Scion (Burry) & Pershing (Ackman) 

ETF Check Up: Flow Show, IBIT

ETF Buzz…

etfbuzz table showing top inflows and outflows year to date

  • iShares Bitcoin ETF $10B in new $$$
  • $11.7b inflows this year, top 5 out of 4200+ ETFs; nearly $6.5b in May
  • IBIT also over $70b in total assets; top 25 out of all ETFs (crazy numbers in 16 months since launch)

IBIT’s low(er) volatility rally is luring in ‘bigger fish’

  • The 90-day rolling vol of IBIT is declining and has never been lower (chart)
  • This along with the rally itself is helping attract larger investors~ who want digital gold, not a tech stock

Line graph showing IBIT and GLD