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Markets & the Economy: A Market Divided~ Rally On or Rally Off…

This content does not reflect any recommendations of Baird.

The furious reversal rally in the stock market has the SP500 carving out a rare technical formation called “The Bollinger Bands are Drunk…” Is this market’s bullishness justified?

S&P 500 price chart with technical bands, showing recent rebound and diverging upside and downside arrows.

Weekly ETF flow table shows inflows to SPY and SOXX, with outflows from SCHD and industrial sector ETFs.

Add it to the ETF Line Up

New Launches: (week ending 4/24) a few highlights…

  • RISE~ Pictet Emerging Markets Rising Economies ETF
  • EMFI~ Pictet Emerging Markets Debt ETF
  • BESO~ GSR Crypto Core ETF; their 1st ETF-actively managed and invests across Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana

New Filings:

New filing for an AI Resilience ETF by Defiance…

New filing for a bunch of Predictive Moonshot Target (Year & Price) that give binary outcomes on different stocks, bitcoin, ether, gold, etc… (these follow the prediction mkt election ETFs filed a month ago)

Prospectus page listing proposed ‘Predictive Moonshot Target’ ETFs across equities, crypto, gold, and indices.

ETF Check Up

DRAM hits $1B in AUM in the 1st 10 days since launch…

  • For context, here’s the 4 biggest theme ETFs and how long it took each to hit $1B: PAVE (1000 days), AIQ (1500 days), IGF (1800 days), GRID (3000 days)

Line chart shows Roundhill Memory ETF AUM climbing steadily to approximately $993M in April 2026.

Hedge Funds have drastically increased their long positioning in ETFs~ here’s what that growth looks like via 13F filings

Chart shows hedge fund ETF exposure rising to ~9% of 13F filings, reaching about $300B by Q3 2025.

Milestone Watch: VOO is now at $913B…

  • Mind-blowing considering it had $595b only 12mo ago~ that’s 1.25b a day in aum
  • Based on this pace it’s scheduled to become the first ETF ever to hit $1T in assets on August 1st
  • Also, amazing that it only passed SPY about a year ago and it’s already 25% bigger

Table of top U.S. ETFs by AUM and YTD flows, highlighting VOO with $913.5B in assets and strong inflows.